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A row over the accuracy of official statistics on asylum seekers yesterday overshadowed the government's attempts to trumpet another fall in the number of applications.
A National Audit Office report said the government's figures dramatically underestimated the number of asylum seekers claiming state benefits.
The report was published at the same time as Home Office figures showing that in the first three months of this year, 10,585 people sought political sanctuary in Britain. That is a 20 per cent fall from the previous three months, when 13,150 applications were record.
Labour leaders are worried that next month's local and European elections could see major gains for the British National Party. David Blunkett, the Home Secretary, yesterday said ministers feel "a genuine worry" about the racist party's election prospects.
Ministers were quick to seize on the fall in applications, arguing the figures were a vindication of the tougher stance announced last year by the Prime Minister.
"These asylum figures show that the dramatic progress that we made last year, when we halved the number of asylum applications, has continued," Tony Blair said.
Mr Blunkett pledged to reduce applications even more. "Within the bounds of not setting impossible targets, it is my view that we can, over the next few months, get them down still further," he said.
While the NAO report gave a clean bill of health to the Home Office figures for applications from people recently arrived, it cast serious doubt on information about people in Britain whose applications are being considered.
According to the NAO study, government data on the number of such people receiving benefit payments and accommodation from the National Asylum Support Service (NASS) do not include up to 23,000 asylum seekers or their children who are supported by local councils. Another 1,000 receive help directly from the Department for Work and Pensions.
Once those people are added to the Home Office's declared figure of 76,000, the total number of asylum seekers getting some sort of state benefit approaches 100,000.
The government data "is misleading because it leaves out a materially significant number of supported asylum seekers from the statistics," the NAO report said. Including all supported asylum seekers would mean "a significant increase in the statistics."
Yesterday's Home Office figures claimed the number of failed asylum seekers who were removed from the UK in the first three months of this year rose to 3,320, up 27 per cent from the first quarter of 2003.
But the NAO auditors also cast doubt on that data. Figures on failed asylum seekers supposedly removed from Britain were "not always satisfactory".
In one in 20 recorded removals, the NAO could find no evidence to prove that the people concerned had indeed left the UK.
"Confusion between immigration officers and enforcement officers over who was responsible for recording a removal once it had taken place," contributed to doubts about deportation figures, the NAO said.
David Davis, the Conservative shadow home secretary, said the flaws in the government figures showed that ministers had not mastered problems over asylum claims. "How can the government claim to have the asylum system under control?" he asked.
He said the greatest flaw in yesterday's report was that it made no estimate of how many failed asylum seekers dropped out of the system and become illegal immigrants.
"Many other countries around the world measure or estimate how many illegals are in their country at any one time. Our government always shies away from these figures," Mr Davis said.
Mr Blunkett later admitted that the government still had not won the battle for public confidence over asylum.
"People do not believe that we have got a grip," Mr Blunkett said. "We have got a long hard haul to demonstrate that we have got a grip on this."
And whatever the government's successes on asylum, Mr Blair seems doomed to get little credit from them, at least for as long as Iraq dominates the political agenda.
The Prime Minister began his monthly press conference at Downing Street yesterday with an upbeat statement about asylum figures.
When the briefing ended more than an hour later, Mr Blair still had not been asked a single question on the controversial topic.
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